Dollar Cycle

Over the decade long commodity boom made in China we have all been accustomed to the large and growing current account surpluses being recycled back into western financial security markets. Case in point, from 2000 to its peak in the fall of 2013 the Chinese added more than 2,000 per cent to their TSY holdings….

SWF spending and investment

Source: Norwegian Ministry of Finance, Bawerk.net According to the proposed budget submitted by the current ‘blue-blue’ government the Norwegian deficit will reach another record high in 2016. Mainland taxes are expected to bring in 1,008 billion NOKs, while expenditures are estimated at 1,215 billion NOKs. In other words, 2016 will be another year of record…

FOMC Dot Plot for 2015

The Fed unsurprisingly chickened out from the much touted September hike. International conditions and a disapproval from Mr. Market was enough to unnerve an increasingly bewildered FOMC board. Less well known is the fact that the FOMC gave a strong, and unexpected, signal to the Pavlovian world of central bank front runners. Dovish hold as…

Much has been said about the Basel Committees ambition to create a regulatory framework that will be resilient enough to withstand and contain another Lehman Brothers scenario. Remember, before extending and deepening the regulations put on banks in order to make them more resilient to short term funding problems, the regulation known as Basel II…